I started an initiative to plot the current number of infections in your city. Just input csv and off you go:
If you can/want, please reproduce in your city!
The goal of this is manifold:
esp. in Germany there is not single central source of data for infection numbers per city (which is where the density of the population and hence the most infections are), so I thought we have to create this data source on our own (see the csv file in the repo for dresden). I basically went to the city’s website and copied the numbers into a csv file
it’s important to visualize data well and show it to the public, otherwise insights to data remain unseen and people might not understand why social distancing is important. I won’t claim my viz foo is perfect, but I am trying. Please make suggestions for improvements.
I hope that at some point, my simple exponential model breaks apart completely and we see a logistic curve that breaks off. At this point, #COVID would be beaten in my city. If you can, please review the way how I quantify uncertainties for my simple model. The are currently super large and possibly way off.
I want to motivate people to help stop the spread. Please fork or PR and contribute the data for your city. With this decentralized way, I hope we can establish a decent dataset. Of course I know, that the simple data is not feasible to for high precision stats as it contains many sources of uncertainty (time lage for diagnosing cases, improvements in diagnosis speeds, …) Anyhow, it’s worth a shot.